Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.207512 0.240945 0.278082 0.322406 0.373887 0.431825 0.502024
2025-05-04 0.157220 0.202335 0.257829 0.331171 0.425681 0.543549 0.702030
2025-05-11 0.128451 0.177409 0.242000 0.333578 0.460351 0.630083 0.875376
2025-05-18 0.107352 0.157031 0.226414 0.330584 0.483468 0.700378 1.032925
2025-05-25 0.089872 0.138131 0.208925 0.320599 0.492994 0.750168 1.165166
2025-06-01 0.080828 0.129874 0.205066 0.329074 0.529422 0.842110 1.370563
2025-06-08 0.071940 0.120358 0.197621 0.330313 0.553766 0.917190 1.557872
2025-06-15 0.065502 0.113762 0.193685 0.336197 0.585598 1.007047 1.779763
2025-06-22 0.057804 0.103933 0.183005 0.329005 0.593811 1.057506 1.939331
2025-06-29 0.051950 0.096513 0.175423 0.326002 0.608499 1.120104 2.127300
2025-07-06 0.047658 0.091334 0.171099 0.328158 0.632447 1.201474 2.359312
2025-07-13 0.045643 0.090127 0.173818 0.343659 0.683073 1.337714 2.712883
2025-07-20 0.043196 0.087875 0.174459 0.355547 0.728818 1.471343 3.081633
2025-07-27 0.040696 0.085220 0.174029 0.365296 0.771616 1.604580 3.468030
2025-08-03 0.037733 0.081232 0.170415 0.367952 0.799872 1.711194 3.811570
2025-08-10 0.034539 0.076353 0.164372 0.364646 0.814840 1.791361 4.107358
2025-08-17 0.031040 0.070382 0.155316 0.353620 0.811380 1.831024 4.316710
2025-08-24 0.029553 0.068712 0.155386 0.362979 0.854932 1.979904 4.798068
2025-08-31 0.027595 0.065724 0.152166 0.364347 0.880046 2.089532 5.200000
2025-09-07 0.026174 0.063821 0.151191 0.370844 0.918047 2.233528 5.704532
2025-09-14 0.023942 0.059704 0.144578 0.362902 0.919806 2.290677 5.997948
2025-09-21 0.022205 0.056605 0.140053 0.359586 0.932698 2.376609 6.376859
2025-09-28 0.020946 0.054561 0.137880 0.361967 0.960459 2.503164 6.880009